Euro remains under pressure near 1.1100 against the US Dollar.Stocks in Europe closed mostly with gains on Friday.EUR/USD risks further pullbacks in the short-term horizon.The Euro (EUR) extends the bearish performance against the US Dollar (USD) at the end of the week, with EUR/USD facing extra selling pressure and hovering around the 1.11100 area, or new weekly lows.
The strong Dollar’s rally this week has driven the pair sharply lower from its 2023 high near 1.1270 on Monday down to current lows in the vicinity of 1.1100 the figure.Other than some profit taking in light of the pair’s recent strong advance, market chatter suggesting that the Federal Reserve may not end its rate-hiking campaign in July has also boosted the Dollar at the expense of risk assets.
Looking ahead, the pair’s spot price seems set for some consolidation ahead of crucial meetings next week by the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB). While both central banks are likely to raise rates by 25 bps, an emerging divergence lies in their near-term plans regarding future tightening of their normalization programmes.Furthermore, the Fed is seen as nearing the end of its hiking cycle, while some ECB rate-setters have sounded less hawkish recently on the prospects for more hikes beyond summer. In bond markets, yields on both sides of the Atlantic remain directionless during the European morning.
Daily digest market movers: Euro gives away further ground on Dollar buying.The EUR maintains the trade near 1.1100 against the USD.The USD Index remains bid and surpasses 101.00.
Speculation that the Fed could end its hiking cycle in July looks mitigated.
US and German bon yields lack clear direction so far on Friday.
Technical Analysis: Euro faces a deeper correction in the short term
While EUR/USD continues to digest its marked weekly pullback, there is immediate contention at the weekly low of 1.1111 (July 21) ahead of the psychological 1.1000 mark, all seconded by provisional support at the 55-day and 100-day SMAs at 1.0897 and 1.0881, respectively. The loss of this region could open the door to a potential revisit to the July 6 low of 1.0833 ahead of the key 200-day SMA at 1.0687 and the May 31 low of 1.0635. South from here emerges the March 15 low of 1.0516 before the 2023 low of 1.0481 on January 6.
In case bulls regain the upper hand, the next up-barrier emerges at the 2023 high at 1.1275 (July 18). Once this level is cleared, there are no resistance levels of significance until the 2022 peak of 1.1495 recorded on February 10, which is closely followed by the round level of 1.1500.In the longer run, the constructive view of EUR/USD appears unchanged as long as it trades above the key 200-day SMA.
EURO FAQS
What is the Euro?
The Euro is the currency for the 20 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day.EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).
EUR/USD keeps range below 1.1150 ahead of the weekend
EUR/USD keeps range below 1.1150 ahead of the weekend
EUR/USD continues to trade in a relatively tight range below 1.1150 in the second half of the day on Friday. A broad US Dollar rebound led by the sharp rally in USD/JPY is capping the upside in the pair. Traders refrain from placing fresh bets on the major ahead of next week’s ECB and Fed decisions.
EUR/USD News
USD/JPY rallies to near 142.00 as US Dollar jumps and BoJ policy seems unchanged
USD/JPY rallies to near 142.00 as US Dollar jumps and BoJ policy seems unchanged
USD/JPY jumps to near 142.00 as the US Dollar rallies amid a cautious market mood. Fed-BoJ policy divergence is expected to widen further as the BoJ is expected to continue its dovish stance.
USD/JPY News
Gold retreats to $1,960 area on renewed USD strength
Gold retreats to $1,960 area on renewed USD strength
Gold price stays on the back foot and trades in negative territory at around $1,960 on Friday. The persistent US Dollar strength weighs on XAU/USD. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield retreats toward 3.8%, helping the pair limit its losses for the time being.
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