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On Thursday, July 31, 2025, the BTC/USDT pair exhibits a cautiously bullish outlook, driven by recent market dynamics and technical indicators. Bitcoin is trading around $117,766-$118,368, with a new all-time high of $123,236 reached on July 14, 2025. The pair has shown resilience, supported by strong institutional inflows, particularly through U.S. Bitcoin ETFs, which have attracted significant capital in 2025. A recent U.S.-EU trade agreement on July 28 eased market fears, boosting BTC by 1.24% to $119,296, while $43.69M in short liquidations within 24 hours fueled upward momentum. The Fear & Greed Index at 67/100 reflects bullish sentiment, underpinned by a hashrate ATH of 955 EH/s, signaling miner confidence.
Short-term forecasts suggest BTC/USDT could trade between $116,261-$126,010, with a predicted price of $117,766 for July 31. Support lies at $114,790-$115,000, aligning with technical levels like the Kijun and FVG, while resistance is at $120,899-$124,000. The 200-day moving average is rising, indicating a strong long-term trend, though the 50-day moving average on shorter timeframes suggests potential bearish pressure. MACD remains bullish, but overbought conditions could lead to a brief pullback to $115,000-$116,000 before further gains. Posts on X highlight a possible sweep of $116,000 early in the week, with expectations of a rebound toward $128,000-$140,000 if support holds.
Volatility remains a concern, with regulatory shifts and geopolitical events posing risks. However, institutional adoption and Bitcoin’s finite supply post-2024 halving support a positive trajectory. Investors should monitor $121,000 as a key pivot; a break above could target $125,000-$130,000, while a drop below $115,000 may test lower supports.

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  Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds above $4.600 with all eyes on Fed Warsh’s speechAugust 28, 2026
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  Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD resumes profit-taking pullback before Warsh’s Jackson Hole speechAugust 28, 2026
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  EUR/USD Price Forecast: Buyers remain in charge above the 200-day SMAAugust 27, 2026
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  Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD hits lows sub-$4,600 as US inflation supports the GreenbackAugust 27, 2026
  Gold (XAU/USD) is giving away the mild recovery seen during Thursday’s Asian session and pulls back below $4,600 during the European morning, as the US Dollar Index (DXY) consolidates above 99.00. A cautious market sentiment ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium and the hot US inflation figures seen on Wednesday have provided some support to… Read more: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD hits lows sub-$4,600 as US inflation supports the Greenback
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  Euro: Rally stalls against US Dollar as spreads drive trade.August 26, 2026
  Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the Euro (EUR) is slightly softer versus the Dollar, with its late-July rally stalling as price action mirrors yield spreads. Markets still price a hawkish European Central Bank (ECB) path, with about 24 bps of tightening expected in September and 40 bps by year-end. Sentiment remains constructive,… Read more: Euro: Rally stalls against US Dollar as spreads drive trade.