Xauusd on Thursday
XAUUSD FORECAST THURSDAY 31/07/2025 in 1500 characters
The XAU/USD (Gold/US Dollar) forecast for Thursday, July 31, 2025, suggests a complex market influenced by technical and fundamental factors. As of July 31, 2025, gold prices are around $3,301.68, reflecting a 0.67% daily increase but a 1.25% monthly decline. Technical analysis indicates a neutral to bearish short-term outlook. The price has tested resistance at $3,350, forming a symmetrical triangle, with potential for a breakout either way. Support lies at $3,282–$3,296, while resistance is at $3,365–$3,370. A bearish scenario could see prices drop to $3,250 if support breaks, driven by a stronger US dollar and high bond yields. Conversely, a bullish move toward $3,336.39 is possible if prices hold above $3,300, supported by demand at key levels.Fundamentally, gold faces pressure from Donald Trump’s protectionist policies and new US import tariffs, alongside the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates, as noted in recent FOMC minutes. Strong US economic data, like June’s non-farm payrolls, further weighs on prices. However, gold’s safe-haven appeal could strengthen if geopolitical tensions escalate or the Fed signals a dovish shift. Analysts predict prices may reach $3,513–$3,634 by year-end, with some optimistic forecasts at $3,653.60. Short-term volatility is expected, with daily indicators suggesting a “Sell” on the D1 timeframe but a “Buy” on the W1 timeframe. Traders should monitor US economic reports and geopolitical developments closely.
- EUR/JPY recovers from session low but remains down on Friday
EUR/JPY trades on the back foot on Friday, easing away even as the Euro (EUR) posts solid gains against the US Dollar (USD). The Japanese currency surged suddenly near the start of the American session after a surprisingly weak United States (US) employment report. But the cross recovered much of those losses fairly quickly. Japan… Read more: EUR/JPY recovers from session low but remains down on Friday - Euro: Fed repricing supports moderate gains against US Dollar. Aqa,,
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen argues that the US Dollar’s (USD) current support from perceived hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) policy is likely to fade as markets reassess United States (US) rate expectations over coming quarters. While Euro (EUR) upside is seen as limited due to energy-related growth and rate headwinds, EUR/USD is still forecast to grind… Read more: Euro: Fed repricing supports moderate gains against US Dollar. Aqa,, - Euro: Oil-price sensitivity and war-end effects – Commerzbank.
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that lower Oil prices can initially restrain the Euro (EUR) by reducing European Central Bank (ECB) rate expectations. Over time, however, a lasting end to the Iran conflict could support the currency through stronger Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) and improved real economic activity. Oil, rates and Euro reaction “Over the past… Read more: Euro: Oil-price sensitivity and war-end effects – Commerzbank. - British Pound: Range trade holds ahead of Q2 GDP against US Dollar – Scotiabank.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the British Pound (GBP) is slightly firmer versus the US Dollar (USD), with modestly better PMIs but a fading fundamental backdrop as 2-year spreads give back gains since late June. With limited data before the August 13 Q2 GDP release, they remain medium-term bullish, expecting GBP/USD to… Read more: British Pound: Range trade holds ahead of Q2 GDP against US Dollar – Scotiabank. - Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD eyes acceptance above $4,150 amid Hormuz deal hopesGold is building on its recovery from near the $4,020 region in Wednesday’s Asian trades, advancing beyond the $4,100 round level. Gold capitalizes on US-Iran peace deal hopes Gold buyers are extending their control amid further weakness in Oil prices, which continue to ease inflationary concerns and weigh on US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate… Read more: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD eyes acceptance above $4,150 amid Hormuz deal hopes
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