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The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on July 29–30, 2025, is expected to maintain the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50%, with a 97.4% probability of no change, reflecting a cautious approach amid economic uncertainties. No rate cut is anticipated, but markets are focused on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference at 2:30 PM ET for hints on future policy. A dovish tone could signal potential rate cuts in September, boosting equities and gold, while a neutral or hawkish stance may keep markets stable or pressure risk assets. Discussions will likely center on tariff-induced inflation risks, solid labor market conditions, and elevated uncertainty from trade policies. The FOMC may shift toward a flexible inflation targeting framework, emphasizing data-driven decisions. Some expect dissent from governors favoring earlier cuts. No Summary of Economic Projections will be released. Investors await clarity on inflation and employment outlooks.