XAUUSD FORECAST THURSDAY

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XAUUSD FORECAST THURSDAY 31/07/2025 in 1500 characters

The XAU/USD (Gold/US Dollar) forecast for Thursday, July 31, 2025, suggests a complex market influenced by technical and fundamental factors. As of July 31, 2025, gold prices are around $3,301.68, reflecting a 0.67% daily increase but a 1.25% monthly decline. Technical analysis indicates a neutral to bearish short-term outlook. The price has tested resistance at $3,350, forming a symmetrical triangle, with potential for a breakout either way. Support lies at $3,282–$3,296, while resistance is at $3,365–$3,370. A bearish scenario could see prices drop to $3,250 if support breaks, driven by a stronger US dollar and high bond yields. Conversely, a bullish move toward $3,336.39 is possible if prices hold above $3,300, supported by demand at key levels.Fundamentally, gold faces pressure from Donald Trump’s protectionist policies and new US import tariffs, alongside the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates, as noted in recent FOMC minutes. Strong US economic data, like June’s non-farm payrolls, further weighs on prices. However, gold’s safe-haven appeal could strengthen if geopolitical tensions escalate or the Fed signals a dovish shift. Analysts predict prices may reach $3,513–$3,634 by year-end, with some optimistic forecasts at $3,653.60. Short-term volatility is expected, with daily indicators suggesting a “Sell” on the D1 timeframe but a “Buy” on the W1 timeframe. Traders should monitor US economic reports and geopolitical developments closely.

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