The British pound extended its last week’s losses on weaker than expected UK economic data.Also, a dismal market mood and flight to safe-haven assets weighed on the GBP boosts the USD.
GBP/USD Price Forecast: To remain downward pressured unless the 1.3000 is reclaimed.
The GBP/USD plummets to fresh multi-year lows, below the 1.2700 mark, amidst a dampened market mood and odds that the US central bank would hike rates aggressively throughout the year. In the FX space, the greenback remains in the driver’s seat, while risk-sensitive currencies like the GBP, the CAD, and the antipodeans fall. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD is trading at 1.2726 in the North American session.
Sentiment turned sour on China’s Covid-19 outbreak, central bank tightening
Global equities still cling to losses. China’s Covid-19 outbreak over the last two weeks in Shanghai threatens to extend to Beijing, as reported by Reuters. Also, Fed expectations of a 0.50 bps increase in the US, on a slowing economic outlook, threaten to trigger a global “stagflation,” as mentioned by some financial analysts.
The GBP/USD recorded losses of 1.71% in the last week on weaker than expected UK economic data. A worse than expected April’s Gfk Consumer Sentiment (at -38 vs. -33 foreseen) kept the British pound under pressure, hitting its lowest level since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008. It is worth noting that a GfK Consumer Sentiment reading has preceded four of the last five recessions in the UK. Additionally, the drop in the Retail Sales from -0.3% estimated to -1.4% emphasizes that the UK economy is losing momentum, painting a cloudly environment as the Bank of England (BoE) goes through its tightening cycle.
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
The GBP/USD remains downward pressured but fell short of testing September’s 2020 cycle lows around 1.2675, staging a recovery towards current price levels. The bounce off 1.2697 YTD lows provided some air to GBP/USD bears because the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reached oversold conditions, with its reading at 26.40. Nevertheless, once the RSI reclaims 30, further downside is expected.
With that said, the GBP/USD first support would be the YTD low at 1.2697. Once cleared, the next support would be September’s 2020 cycle lows around 1.2675, followed by July’s 2020 swing lows near 1.2479.
EUR/USD tests 1.0700 as dollar capitalizes on safe-haven flows.EUR/USD has lost its traction after having recovered toward 1.0750 on upbeat German IFO data in the European morning. Safe-haven flows continue to dominate the financial markets with Wall Street’s main indexes trading deep in negative territory and the greenback continues to gather strength, dragging the pair toward 1.0700.
GBP/USD holds above 1.2700 after meager recovery attempt.GBP/USD has managed to erase a small portion of its daily losses after having dropped to its lowest level since September 2020 near 1.2700. The pair, however, remains under bearish pressure as the dollar preserves its strength with Wall Street’s main indexes trading deep in the red.
XAUUSD beaten down by growth-related fears.Gold is technically bearish and near a critical static support level. Sustained demand for the American currency has pushed the gold price to a fresh multi-week low of $1,891.29 a troy ounce.