EUR/GBP: Poor UK fundamentals to be a drag on the Pound.

Strategists at Rabobank point out that the change in the Bank of England’s language favours the doves, they see scope for further rate rises. They continue to expect poor United Kingdom fundamentals to be a drag on the British Pound.  

Key quotes:

“The USD has found further traction on the back of the January US jobs report. That said, the single currency has still managed to climb against the beleaguered GBP, with the latter undermined by the market’s interpretation that the BoE may be even closer to peak policy rates. EUR/GBP continues to edge towards our 0.90 target. We maintain our forecast of EUR/USD1.06 on a 3 month view.”

“Weak productivity, low investment growth, high inflation, recession conditions (albeit at a less severe pace that previously signalled by the Bank), and a current account deficit are all likely to weigh on GBP this year. We continue to expect EUR/GBP to grind higher to 0.90 by the middle of the year and while we see scope for another move below GBP/USD 1.20 on a 3 month view.”

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.0850 following NFP-inspired selloff

EUR/USD came under strong bearish pressure and declined below 1.0850 as the US Dollar gathered strength on the impressive January jobs report. With Wall Street’s main indexes rebounding from daily lows, however, the pair seems to have found support.


GBP/USD falls to 1.2100, looks to post large weekly losses

GBP/USD turned south and fell toward 1.2100 after the data from the US revealed that Nonfarm Payrolls increased by 517,000 in January. Although the US Dollar Index retreated modestly in the late American session, the pair remains on track to close the week deep in the red.


Gold extends slide to fresh mutliweek lows below $1,870

Gold price extended its slide after breaking below $1,900 and touched its lowest level since January 10 below $1,870. With the US January jobs report showing an impressive 517,000 growth in NFP, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield recovered above 3.5%, weighing heavily on XAU/USD.

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