Concerns over the banking sector have led to a move towards safe haven assets and Fold has clearly benefited from this. While economists at ING see a short-term pullback in prices, we expect these to strengthen over the second half of the year.
Fed policy should support Gold later in the year
“Fed policy is likely to be key for Gold over the medium term. We see a final 25 bps hike in May, which would leave the Fed funds range at 5-5.25%. Rate cuts will likely then become the theme for 2H23, and we see the Fed cutting by 75 bps in the fourth quarter. We would expect real yields to follow policy rates lower later in the year, which should prove supportive for Gold prices.”
“Whilst we expect a pullback in prices in the short term, we see Gold prices moving higher over 2H23 and expect spot Gold to average $2,000 over 4Q23. The assumptions around this are that we do not see further deterioration in the banking sector and that the Fed starts cutting rates towards the end of this year.”
EUR/USD rises toward 1.0850 as USD struggles to recover
EUR/USD has regained its traction and rose to the 1.0850 area after having retreated toward 1.0800 earlier in the session. The US Dollar struggles to stage a decisive rebound despite upbeat consumer confidence data from the US, allowing the pair to continue to push higher.
GBP/USD advances to fresh daily hgihs near 1.2350
Following a correction to the 1.2300 area, GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced toward 1.2350. Although Wall Street’s main indexes are trading mixed on Tuesday, the US Dollar stays on the back foot and helps the pair gather bullish momentum.
Gold clings to daily recovery gains above $1,960
Gold price continues to trade in positive territory above $1,960 in the American session on Tuesday. As US stocks trade mixed, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield pulls away from session highs and provides a boost to XAU/USD.
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