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EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Holds ground near 184.00, 50-day EMA

August 14, 2026

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EUR/JPY may test immediate support at its nine-day EMA of 183.59.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index at 48.21, signaling market consolidation.
The initial resistance lies at its 50-day EMA near 184.49.

EUR/JPY remains flat after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 183.90 during the Asian hours on Friday. The currency cross is holding above the short-term nine-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) but remaining capped by the medium-term 50-period EMA.

The moving averages configuration, together with a near-neutral 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 48.21, suggests a consolidative tone with a slight bearish bias as the pair struggles to reclaim its 50-period EMA while still respecting nearby dynamic support.

The EUR/JPY cross may test the immediate support at its nine-day Exponential Moving Average of 183.59. A decisive break below this short-term indicator would strengthen the prevailing bearish bias, potentially pressing the currency cross down toward its eight-month low of 179.37, recorded on August 3. If downward momentum continues, the next key technical target lies at the nine-month low of 175.70.

On the upside, the primary resistance lies at its 50-day EMA near 184.49. A sustained break above the medium-term price average could signal a broader bullish resurgence, opening the path for the pair to retest the area surrounding its all-time peak of 187.95 set on April 17.